The OC Coastal Real Estate Blog

Filed under: Bad news, Market matters, Recession

Unlike the stock market, the bond market thrives on "bad" news. Why is this? The main reason is the money trail. Investors are quick to move their money from stocks into bonds when something bad happens.

Yesterday we had plenty of bad news. The U.S. job market lost 467,000 jobs, a 26-year high. Now to add fuel to the fire, wages are dropping due to layoffs and shortened work weeks (WSJ subscription required). Fewer people are working, which means less money that consumers have to spend. That signals a slower economy.

Continue reading Bad news triggers a rally in the bond market

Bad news triggers a rally in the bond market originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 03 Jul 2009 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL), Market matters, General Mills (GIS), Yum Brands (YUM), Cramer on BloggingStocks, Recession

From TheStreet.com Network

• Unemployment Rate Climbs to 9.5%
• Today's Outrage: Companies Lack Courage

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says there's good in this market -- remember that.

Does unemployment trump everything? Does it trump Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take) sales? Does it trump 3G and 4G? How about Chinese orders? How about General Mills' (NYSE: GIS) (Cramer's Take) numbers? Yum!'s (NYSE: YUM) (Cramer's Take) business? Does unemployment trump pending home sales? Or order pick-ups in autos and a subsequent bottom?

That's what you have to ask yourself when you sell. You have to ask yourself whether 40,000 or 60,000 jobs trumps everything good that has happened. You have to ask yourself if the government were to take 100,000 of those people and give them jobs taking care of federal lands and parks or working at the post office or having them go into a conservation corps, whether we would be up and not down.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't paint everything with the jobs brush

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't paint everything with the jobs brush originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 03 Jul 2009 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Filed under: Recession, Financial Crisis

What a way to go into the holiday weekend, eh? On Thursday, seven banks were shut down by authorities, which pushed the total of failed banks for 2009 to 52 -- which more than doubles the number of bank failures in 2008. Six of the seven banks seized were located in Illinois and the other was in Texas, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).

According to the federal group, the Illinois failures are interlinked, as all six banks were controlled by one family and used a similar business model. The FDIC noted that this model "created concentrated exposure in each institution." This model left the banks heavily exposed to collateralized debt obligations and other loan losses. The six banks brings the total of failed banks in Illinois to 12.

As for the Texas bank failure, it was the first in the state this year.

Continue reading Seven banks go up in smoke ahead of the holiday weekend

Seven banks go up in smoke ahead of the holiday weekend originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 03 Jul 2009 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Filed under: Deals, Private equity, Recession

Private equity investors are using current financial market constraints on liquidity to negotiate favorable deals, as private equity general partners have watched the values of their portfolios fall profoundly. Efforts to attract additional investment haven't been easy, as potential limited partners are reluctant to make long commitments in an uncertain marketplace. This has given limited partners a stronger position from which to negotiate both fees and terms and conditions.

Limited partners are getting a leg up on the private equity funds in which they invest, signaling a change from the historical trend in which funds could push for aggressive compensation based on the returns they provide. In a poll conducted by Preqin, 43% of investors noted a power shift from fund to limited partner, with only 2% seeing a shift toward the general partner.

Continue reading Limited partners putting pressure on private equity funds to cut fees

Limited partners putting pressure on private equity funds to cut fees originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Jul 2009 17:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Filed under: General Electric (GE), Recession

After a nifty rebound off a 52-week low of $5.73, industrial and financial services giant General Electric (NYSE: GE) is in a weird place. The company's shares are trading at around $11.75, which is well below the $15 levels achieved in early May. This would seem odd as GE appears to be well positioned for the Green Shoots Scenario. The company has a big presence in alternative energy, health care solutions, and industrial products -- all big beneficiaries of both the Obama stimulus package and a nascent economic rebound.

So why does the market seem to be scared of GE? A couple of key reasons. First, GE's investments in commercial real estate (CRE) are looking increasingly toxic as the rate of CRE failures soars and CRE debt remains difficult to roll over.

Continue reading General Electric: Up, down or sideways?

General Electric: Up, down or sideways? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Jul 2009 14:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.